Donald Trump's second term could prove pivotal for both the United States and the global order.
According to The Guardian, given the prolonged war, Trump may halt military assistance to Ukraine, which is likely to result in a freeze of the conflict. This would send a message to the autocrats of the world that the West is losing its resolve. However, such a stance would not only exacerbate distrust towards the U.S. among its allies but also allow Russia to continue its aggressive policies.
At the same time, a U.S. withdrawal from supporting Ukraine could encourage China to take aggressive actions regarding Taiwan. Xi Jinping might interpret this as a sign of weakness and a lack of U.S. leadership. This would jeopardize stability in Asia and prompt Japan and South Korea to reconsider their reliance on Washington.
Furthermore, Trump's backing of Israel's hardline actions could incite a new wave of conflicts in the region. If Tel Aviv takes radical measures, such as mass deportations of Palestinians, it could provoke outrage from the global community and even lead to accusations of war crimes.
Additionally, Trump, known for his tough rhetoric towards China, promises to increase tariffs. However, experts warn that this would hit American consumers and contribute to inflation. Biden's policy, which is based on support for democratic values, demonstrates greater strategic foresight and could serve as a model for Trump.
Trump's second term may present an opportunity to reassess his political approach. However, it remains uncertain whether he will seize this chance.
Source: theguardian.