Although Trump has yet to reveal a specific plan for ending the war in Ukraine, his close circle hints at scenarios that could resonate not just in Kyiv, but also in Moscow.
As reported by The New York Times, Vice President JD Vance explicitly mentions the need for concessions: recognizing Russia's control over occupied territories and Ukraine's renunciation of NATO membership in exchange for peace. This stance sharply contrasts with the statements of many American politicians who demand uncompromising support for Ukraine until its complete victory. However, it seems that Trump is willing to risk accusations of "betraying allies" and even supporting Putin's expansionist ambitions, as stated in the article.
Despite the heroic resistance of the Ukrainian army, analysts acknowledge that Ukraine faces a critical need for human resources and material support. The 2023 counteroffensives yielded limited results, while Russia continues to bolster its forces, even recruiting North Korean military personnel. At the same time, American weapons and support, while substantial, do not guarantee a turning point on the battlefield.
Like his predecessors, Trump may leverage the Ukraine issue as a geopolitical tool. Washington has supported Ukraine for decades, but often this support has ended in disappointment for Kyiv. NATO's engagement with Ukraine has remained at the level of promises, while the real security umbrella from the West has yet to materialize.
The winter season promises to be challenging for both Ukraine and its allies. Constant power outages, infrastructure destruction, and significant losses on the front create conditions for diplomatic pressure on Kyiv.
"America is not going to save Ukraine. Perhaps we need Mr. Trump — brash and unprincipled — to finally say this out loud and act accordingly," the article's author writes.
Source: nytimes.